For 03/31/2000
Friday ( Main Trend: A
larger Pull back is near before weekend.
)$$
NQ (nasdaq futures) should open gap up 50-80 pts. If
SP opens gap up above 1510, then it would test 1500 and stop
will be available after open. If
it opens below 1507 (or at 1503), then it might plunge to test
1493 and 1483-6; stop will be 1507.7-1508.6. Try
to reverse to buy side at 1486 for 1540 target next week. We
would presume market would bounce after morning sell-off. If
it can not maintain the bouncing power, weekly close could be
at 1492-4.
For 03/30/2000
Thursday ( Main Trend: A
larger Pull back is near before weekend.
)$$$ Still selling bias,
target 1492
For 03/29/2000
Wednesday ( Main Trend: A
larger Pull back is near before weekend.
)$$$ Two
scenarios (1), Wednesday stop 1536.50, selling bias, target
1519-1920 within 90 mins after the open. If market can not
manage back to take out 1529 after morning's plunge, it should
plunge to 1492. (2) If 1536.5 were violated at globex,
market might plunge at open to 1516 and reverse back up.
For 03/28/2000
Tuesday ( Main Trend: A
larger Pull back is near before Month-end.
)$$$ If
it opens at 1541 after hitting 1545 at globex; stop 1542.10,
try to sell. Target will be a Dow's support was broken on Monday.
Try
to reverse to buy side from 1533-28 assuming 1547 might be
taken out. It has to break 1547 in 3-4 hours, otherwise
another down day, target 1528-30.
Main Trend: This larger pull back is on
the way already, target 1492 before month-end.
For 03/27/2000
Monday ( Main Trend: UP,
a little pull-back then reverse back up ) If
it opens at 1552 (be careful with this 48-50 stop), market
might spikes down to 1542-46 at the open and it should be a
bargain. 09:00 AM Update: side line, market should close at
1540 area.
For 03/24/2000
Friday ( Main Trend: UP,
a little pull-back then reverse back up )$$$ Update
after open: 1540-38 should be stop
for buying bias target 1560 take 1/2 profit and 1572 then take
profit and reverse to short for scalping 10 pts, there is a
possible spike down to 1533.
For 03/23/2000
Thursday ( Main Trend: UP,
a little pull-back then reverse back up )$
Thursday should be a down day. Target 1499-1494 then reverse
back up on Friday. BUT, if market can not take out this
1512.70-1510, again
market will be back up like Wednesday's.
For 03/22/2000
Wednesday ( Main Trend: UP,
a little pull-back then reverse back up )$$$ (1)
If
it opens at 1505 area then try buying bias for 1518 target
then 1525, 1532. (1510 must be broken within 2 hours); (2) If
it opens at 1507, buying bias for 1518.50 target. (1510 must
be broken); stop for both
scenarios is around 1500-02.
For 03/21/2000
Tuesday ( Main Trend: UP,
a pull-back then reverse back up )$$$ Before
FOMC meeting announcement (11:15AM PST), market should rally
to test 1492, buying bias for 1492 testing
target. If open at
82 area, try selling bias to scalp to 1473 and 1463 within 30-45 mins
after open, then reverse to long for 1492 target and 1508-1512
For 03/20/2000
Monday ( Main Trend: UP,
a pull-back
)$$$ If
last Friday's high (1497) holds on Monday, market should pull
back to 1460-1457 before Wednesday open; then reverse back up.
keep in mind: main
trend is UP with 1456 main trend support..
For 03/17/2000
Friday ( Main Trend: Bottom
and turning up for bounce. )$$$ We
called Nasdaq bottom again at 10:30 AM (Thursday) Dow's super
rally should last for another 10-18 hours before a short-term
correction. Stop 1473, buying bias, target 1494;
then reverse to short (selling bias) for a PB (pull back) to
1460 close and a gap up open on Monday followed by a sell off
again into Tuesday/1450-45. (More likely if CPI is as expected or unfriendly)
For 03/16/2000
Thursday ( Main Trend: Bottom
and turning up for bounce. )$$$
Nasdaq
should start to bounce (not up trend yet.) If PPI & CPI are friendly, sp should rally to
1436 and more. If PPI
is friendly, it could open gap up above 1422. Nasdaq should
bottom out and start to bounce 3-4 hours after the opening. Buying
bias, SP support is at around 1403, for target 142x-143x, day
trade stop1410-09. We will be back in our long if PPI is
friendly.
For 03/15/2000
Wednesday ( Main Trend: Bottom
and ready to turn for bounce. )$$$
First hour after the open, market should
consolidate between 1375 and 1388 then rally to 1400-2. Globex
stop 1376.80, buying bias, target gap up at 1386-87; then
reverse to short one last time for gap filling then reverse to
buying bias. As
soon as 140x target achieved, watch out, there is a potential
plunge all the way back to take out globex low.
For 03/14/2000
Tuesday ( Main Trend: Nasdaq topping for 500 pts
correction, Dow's bounce in
doubt )$$$
Still selling bias. Within 2
hours after the opening, market should plunge from 1413 to
test Monday's low 1381 area. If
it opens at lower level, try to scalp buy side with 1397.2
stop, it should rally to test 1413 before plunging to
test Monday's low (stop 1413.50, selling bias). Ready
to cover short and reverse to long "after" Wednesday.
For 03/13/2000
Monday ( Main Trend: Nasdaq topping for 500 pts
correction, Dow's bounce in
doubt )$$$
Still selling bias, SP should
plunge to limit down on Monday.
For 03/10/2000
Friday ( Main Trend: Nasdaq topping, Dow's bounce in
doubt )$$$
from 03/10, we want to unload the stocks
that is in sync with Nasdaq index ;and we might try to buy Dow
if Dow's up trend is convincing. Our timing map shows Nasdaq's
short term topping is due on Friday or Monday for about 500
points plunge within 3-6 days. We will
exit at least 2/3 of our stocks on Friday and Monday.
Our 2/3 stocks will be on side line for a couple of days
during which Nadaq may plunge 500 pts.
For 03/08/2000
Wednesday ( Main Trend: UP )$$$
If it opens
flat, we will be on buy side with 1350-51 stop. If
it opens gap up at 1362, we will sell one more time for
scalping 7-8 pts and reverse to long. For 03/07/2000
Tuesday (Weekly Main Trend: Daily Trend: Pull-back )$$$
(1) Market keeps falling into
03/09 (Thursday) to 135x and reverses back up to 1380 for a
trading consolidation before FOMC and breaks out after FOMC.
(This scenario is feasible, 135x should be secondary
bottom for a rally into Month-end.)
(2) Makes the secondary bottom
at 1380 area and rallies into FOMC and reverses.
Monday's
PB low is not low enough, so it should be taken out
on Tuesday. If it opens gap up, selling bias one more time for
target 1380. For
Tuesday morning: (3) If
the opening is flat, it should spike up to 1400, stop 1401.00,
selling bias, target 1382.20. (4)
If
it opens gap up, selling bias, but be careful, it could spike
up to 1402-4 and reverses back down for 138x target (5)
If open
below 1394, stop 1399.10, selling bias, target 1383 ****If this
1380 is broken, scenario (1) should prevail and selling bias,
target 1351-1350.
At the open, all of our scenarios
are for selling bias. Market did plunge big time as we called
it.
For 03/06/2000
Monday (Weekly Main Trend: UP, Daily Trend: Pull-back )$$$ If
it is a gap down open below 1408-9, then it should be a
selling bias with stop 1412.10, for first target 1402 and 1392
before end of Tuesday.
For 03/03/2000
Friday (Main Trend: UP )$$$
Still buying bias. Dow jones
should rally 200+ pts on Friday. SP 1372-4 is the secondary
bottom for 1406 target either on Friday or Monday morning.
After 1406, a 20-25 pts pull-back on next Tuesday-Wednesday. Dow hit bottom (9850)
on our target day -- February 28. SP was 5 pts higher than our call for 1322 bottom.
Target for this leg up is 1397-1404, before next Tuesday, the
latest. There might not be any decent pull-back before 141x
target. Bottom line: main trend
is UP and it is not over yet. We are still long.
For 03/02/2000
Thursday (Main Trend: UP )$$$
Bottom line: main trend
is UP and it is not over yet. The low 1362, for Thursday, is
still valid (but less likely.) Wednesday's
low (1371) should be the new bottom for secondary rally.
two scenarios (1)
Globex stop 1378.90, buying bias, target 1390-92 (or spike
1397.80). After target gets hit, watch out, market should
reverse back down to take out morning's low and close at
1379-81
area. (2) Globex
stop 1378.90, buying bias, target 1391-92 (or spike 1397.80);
close at 91 area.
For 03/01/2000
Wednesday (Main Trend: UP )$$$
Target
for this leg up is 1397-1403, but either on Wednesday or on
Thursday, there will be a 12-18 pts profit-taking sell off. It
could pull back to 1368. Bottom line: main trend
is UP and not over yet. The low for Thursday (yes,
Thursday) should be 1362. For
Wednesday, High 1386, Low 1368. If Thursday is the
profit-taking day, Wednesday's low should be 1368 instead of
1362. If Globex is flat, then a profit-taking sell off for
10-12 pts narrow trading range is possible. If
market opens above 1374.90, then take 1/2 profit @1378-9. DMD
update afternoon: Buying bias between 1369-72 and buy 1400
call option.
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