Attempt trade
for 06/29/2000 Thursday (Main
trend: Top is around corner)$$$
<SP/U> Watch
out ! We think market threatens to plunge! If
market opens gap up above 1475, then stop 1479.60, selling bias,
target 1462. If it opens unchanged or even lower than 1470, stop
1474.80, selling bias, first target 1462....
Watch
out ! If market has hard time holding above
1460-62, Thursday would be the 1st day of 3 down days in a row,
target ... testing 5/30 gap -- NQ/U 3300-3250, SP/U 1428.70
[Result:
SP/U Open 1462, High 1478.50, Low 1453.00,Close 1458]
Attempt trade
for 06/28/2000 Wednesday (Main
trend: Top is around corner)$$
(2) Bear side: If GDP is a good number and market still fails to hold after
FOMC no-rate hike announcement. Market should plunge into
weekend for 1428 and followed by a bounce.
[Result: Market
closed at low]
Attempt trade
for 06/27/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend:
Trend is up, top is around corner)$
Stop 1472, buying bias, target
1492-1498 before Thursday. Rutine morning sell off will
test 1474-2, if broken... testing yesterday's low.
Attempt trade
for 06/26/2000 Monday (Main
trend:
Trend is up)$
<SP/U> Stop 1471, we
would try to sell 1469-70 at Globex, target 1461.
(1)If this 1461-60 holds before
8:00, we would try to reverse to buying bias with 1460 stop,
target 1480 and 1490. Summary: Try
selling bias first, then reverse to buy side if support holds.
[Result:
Globex
high 1470.50, open 1468, Low 1463.50, High 1480, Close 1479]
Attempt trade
for 06/22/2000 Thursday (Main
trend:
Trend is up, but NQ is not low enough)$$$
<NQ/U> Nasdaq is not low
enough, wait another couple of hours for re-entry of long
position and keep long into end of June.
<SP/U> Wednesday's close
is neutral. As we said, as long as it closed below 1502.50, this
1492 would be tested again (even 1482-4). SP
is likely to repeat Wednesday's opening again at 1493-4 area and
test 1498 and plunge to 1490 (even 1482-4 in the afternoon). If
it does open gap down at 1493-4, then 1500 stop, try to scalp
short side again for 1490 testing in the morning.
Attempt trade
for 06/20/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend:
Trend is up)$$$
Pay attention to NQ tomorrow
morning. NQ should rally another 60-80 points before profit
taking sell off which would take NQ down 150 pts from high.
If it does reverse from this
60-80 pts rally then no more buying after profit taking until
Wednesday afternoon or Thursday morning.
So... take profit tomorrow and
try to scalp short side and reverse to buy side again after this
hiccup completes.
Attempt trade
for 06/19/2000 Monday (Main
trend:
Trend is up)$
Friday's close 1488 was not
good enough and failed to close above 1502. Therefore NQ 3600 testing
is showing on our map again before end of Tuesday.
Trading range 1497-1484 before
Wednesday. For short side, stop 1498.50, selling bias for
1484-85 testing and reverse to long side. We don't think SP
would break 1502 before Wednesday noon if 1498.5 stop prevails
on Monday.
Attempt trade
for 06/16/2000 Friday (Main
trend:
Trend is up )$$
<SP/U> Market might keep
trying test 1483 before end of Monday. Pivot is still 1502-03
Due to triple witch, if market
can not take out 1510 and back down to break 1502-3, watch out,
SP will still try to plunge 1483 again and we will try to scalp
short side again.
Attempt trade
for 06/14/2000 Wednesday (Main
trend:
Trend is up but correction is not low enough.
)$$
Tuesday hight holds and plunges to test Tuesday low (likely
breaks it if this scenario is feasible.) Can't
do anything now. Just keep 1/2 long position and see how this
CPI would do. Tranding
strategy will be commented in room ater CPI report.
Attempt trade
for 06/12/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend:
Trend is up but correction is not low and long enough.
)$$
<SP/U> Finally,
SP achieved our target 1472-68. Ready to reverse to long and
re-enter long position. NQ/U is not low
enough though, our target for NQ/U is 3590-3630 before 9:30 AM
Wednesday. Anyway we started to accumulate some stocks
at today's low. Since
NQ/U is not low enough, SP/W still has a chance spiking down
to 1460 -/+ 3pts area in order for NQ/U to achieve target. Ready
to buy ! No matter what, SP/U needs to close above 1472 on
Tuesday in order for target 1492 testing and 151x to be valid
before this weekend. (Today,
we bought at the very low at the right time and keep long
overnight. Unlike most traders, we were just patient
for last 6 days and only started the buying today.)
Attempt trade
for 06/11/2000 Monday (Main
trend:
Trend is up but correction is not low and long enough.
)$$
Main trend
is still UP, this situation will be tricky in this week;
becuase it could either go to take out low first then reverse
back up or just keep going up after CPI report. If
it opens gap up above 1494 pivot, it would be buying bias for
152x target with 1484 stop. Since CPI has not released yet,
the above situation might delay for another day. If
it does not open gap up above 1494, market should try to test last
Friday's low again or become a choppy day.
Attempt trade
for 06/09/2000 Friday (Main
trend:
Trend is up but correction is not low and long enough.
)$$
<SP/U> Dow's
Thursday plunge could be a warning, plus Thursday was the
expiration day for this first leg up from May 26 as we
mentioned in May. If this 1470-2(SP/U) doesn't look feasible
on friday, it will try next week. This 1450-47
(SP/M) or 1470-72 (SP/U) is just showing on our Map. This week
has only one day left. If a plunge to this level, it should be
on Friday.
Attempt trade
for 06/08/2000 Thursday (Main
trend:
Trend is up but correction is not low and long enough.)$$
<SP/U> Today's
close is above pivot. This pull-back could be over, but this
SP/U 1483 (or SP/M 1450-48) is still valid for one more day. Two
scenarios: (1) If
it opens gap down, then it should be another choppy day like
Wednesday and this SP/U 1483 testing would be validated again. If
this gap down is violent, watch out. (2)
If
it opens gap up at (June 1474), buying bias with 1472 stop for
target 1488-89 (June contract) or 1510-2 (Sept contract)
before 9:30; watch out after for a profit taking reversal
after 9:30 due to PPI's uncertainty. 8:30
update: Stop 1490.10, scalping selling bias @1488.5-89,
target 1481-82.50.
Attempt trade
for 06/07/2000 Wednesday (Main
trend:
UP-swings
)$
(1) If
it opens at/below 1468, stop 1470, selling bias, target 1450
+/- 2pts. (2) If
it opens gap down, selling opportunity will be gone, target
still 1450 area. For
both scenarios, if 1450 support holds, reverse to buy side for
1470-71 testing target and reverse back down again. We
did nothing but scalp some SP with little profit.
Attempt trade
for 06/06/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend:
UP-swings
)$$
<NQ>
For larger correction scenario: NQ will test this 3880 in the
morning. If it does not even take out 3830 and closes below
3750 (pivot), it might plunge 400-450 pts from high
before end of Thursday and reverses back up to continue the
rally.
Attempt trade
for 06/02/2000 Friday (Main
trend:
UP-swings
)$$$
<sp>
UP trend is not over yet. New support is 1437, still buying
bias, target 1468 before weekend and 1472+ before next
Tuesday. If
job report is not "very bad", market would keep
going up for next target 1468 and 1472+ . Try to buy at spike down
(1438~1442) at Globex. We
are long from last Thursday's low and day trades exited at 1435-8.
Having missed the re-entry at 1438, looking for another
opportunity to re-enter, likely from 1446-7 with 1443 stop at
Globex. Position
trade - no hurry to exit the long. Day trade - wait for
opening. (Our postions are still long BRCM, BRCD, IBM, QLGC,
C)
Attempt trade
for 06/01/2000 Thursday (Main
trend:
UP-swings
)$
If it opens at 1435-36, stop 1436.70 again, selling bias for
1413-6 target; then reverse back (re-enter) to long position
again for target 1452 before weekend and 1472 before end of
next Tuesday.
Attempt trade
for 05/31/2000 Wednesday (Main
trend:
UP-swings
)$$$
<SP>
Pivot/stop 1420 (including Globex), buying bias is not over
yet, target 1438 and 1448. BUT... (2) If
this stop level 1421 is not violated before the opening, still
buying bias for more rally, target 1438, 1447. (3)
If it opens gap up at 1435-38, take profit and ready to
reverse to short. (We
shorted from 1436.50 and covered @1423; BRCM we shorted from
140, covered @135, 133 and 131.)
Attempt trade
for 05/30/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend: time
for UP-swings
)$$$
<SP>
Tuesday should give one more chance to bounce above
1405. Support
(stop) 1380, buying bias, target 1403-05 and 1418 before a
little pull back. Market
needs to close above 1405 on Tuesday for this 1450-5 testing
to be valid. If market
does close above 1400, just keep long for overnight for a
possible gap-up open on Wednesday and a profit taking
thereafter.
<NQ>
Pay attention to SP direction/timing.
Attempt trade
for 05/05/2000 Friday (Main Trend:
Dow, swings; Nasdaq: swings ) $$$
This little up trend from Wednesday low is not over yet. Stop
1412.70, buying bias, target 1438-1441; target 1448-1453.50
before Monday open.
Attempt trade
for 05/04/2000 Thursday $$
SP>
If SP opens flat, then a little sell-off is possible and this
1414-5 should be tested before bouncing more. <NQ>
Testing 3750 before end of Friday. Stop
1413, buying bias, target 1438 before end of Thursday and 1454
before 11:00 Friday. If this bounce works, watch out for 11:00
reversal at 1438. If it
opens gap up, stop will be moved to 1417. Again,
SP and NQ need to show strength for bounce around 8:00. If
1413 is broken, we will be side line, wait and see. If
1438 can not be broken, forget about 1454. We
are long 1418 with 1417 stop
Attempt trade
for 05/03/2000 Wednesday ( Main Trend:
Dow, swings; Nasdaq: bottoming, swing up ) 1/2$
Should be a selling-and-reversal day to up side. Three
scenarios: (1) If Open
gap down at 1446-48, it will be down to 1442 and bounce to
1454-5... (2)
If Open at 1454-55, stop 1457.20, selling bias, target 1442
then 1447, then 1438, then reverse back up with1436 stop
for 1453-54 target... (3)
If open gap up at 1459-60, stop 1361-63.50, selling bias,
target 1451-2 and 1448. For
(2)(3) scenarios, selling bias at open and market should
reverse back up at around 7:45 - 8:20 If none of above happens,
the above 3 scenarios will be void.
New
strategy will be made in room. The
reversal target is for NQ 3850-80 testing before/after job
report. Watch out, if job # is not good. NQ might plunge big
time for final 3200 testing.
Update after
opening: stop 1440, buy 1441.50, target 1454 then reverse to
short for 1438-36 target. Risk 1.5 pts only. If got stopped out.. and 1436 broke,
then DON'T BUY anything. Dow will plunge to 10400; Mid-day
update: Stop 1422, selling bias, target 1408.50. We bought
JDSU, HWP, BRCD with profit. Took profit on JDSU and BRCD.
Attempt trade
for 05/02/2000 Tuesday ( Main Trend:
Dow, swings; Nasdaq: bottoming and swing up )$$
<SP> Update
after open: SP will be choppy down day, stop 1474, target
1462.50. if 1474 is broken, then it will become the pivot.
Dropping below the pivot will make it bearish for target
1462.50. We are not buying for today. Possible
close 1470-71, if it did close around this level, then still
selling bias one more time on Wednesday morning, target taking
our Tuesday's any low.
Attempt trade
for 05/01/2000 Monday ( Main Trend:
Dow, short-term topping; Nasdaq: bottoming and swing up )
<SP>
Stop 1468.70, selling bias, target 1406 before weekend. If
1468.70 can not be violated after Monday close, this 1406
target before weekend will be 60% confirmed. (Keep in mind:
Dow/SP should be in same direction. <NQ>
Going test test 4000-4080 within 3-4 days. Buying bias is
not over yet before 05/05. If NQ does not show strength at
open, it should be a choppy down bias for profit taking pull
back for 3630-80 testing before Monday close or Tuesday open.
Intra-day trading strategy will be available after the open.
Update after
the opening: Don't short SP if 1468.50 is broken. NQ 3880 is
holding! Don't short. If it keep holding for another hour, Its
target would be 4070 testing before 8:30 tomorrow morning.
NQ's up trend is pointing to May 5. 9:55
AM update -- NQ did not hold 3880, we shorted BRCM from 178
for possible target 162 tomorrow morning; we took 1/2 profit
@173.5. the balance with breakeven stop. Just be conservative
!! Today's volumn is thin and NQ's short term up trend is not
over yet.
Attempt trade
for 04/28/2000 Friday ( Main Trend:
Dow, short-term topping; Nasdaq: bottoming and swing up )$$$
Watch out. SP is moving in sync with Dow Jones on
topping bias. SP:
(Globex) Stop 1460, buying bias, target 1484-85. If this 1484
target achieved before 8:00AM, SP could reverse back down to
fill up the gap and reverse back up. 6:25AM
update -- Take profit and reverse. SP/DOW are topping,
better exit Dow stocks.
Attempt trade
for 04/27/2000 Thursday ( Main Trend:
Dow, short-term topping; Nasdaq: bottoming and swing up )$$$
If
SP opens gap up above 1480, try to scalp short side with tight
stop, SP target
1462-1460, spike 1455. NQ
stop 3625, selling bias, target 3400 is a safe bet, but spike
3330 is valid. Stocks: BRCD - If it opens
at 115 area, then stop 121, selling bias, target 100. DMD
6:30 AM Update: We are buying at open, SP scalping target
1453. Stocks:
Buying BRCD below 100, target 113; buying PMCS for 10 points
profit.
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