Attempt trade
for 09/29/2000 Friday (Main
trend: Swinging )$$$
BAD SIGN: At Globex, SP opened gap
down at 1472.... ready for 145x target or even lower.
If market opens gap down
below 1465-4; stop 1470, selling bias, target 1455-53 (spike
1450-1448).
If it opens at around 1470,
then Stop 1475-7, selling bias, target 1455-53.
Attempt trade
for 09/27/2000 Wednesday (Main
trend: Swinging )$
Main
trend is still down but bottom is around corner. For
the rest of the week, market is more likely to swing between
1465 and 1445. Strategy for this week will be
"scalping". Don't try to over trade before
weekend.
If market opens gap down,
try to buy for 1.5 days bounce (at least 1465); but previous
low (1438) better be tested and taken out by 1 tick first. Even
market bounces there is a chance it will swing back down one
more time before weekend. If it does not open gap
down, wait 20-30 mins for clue; because a sell off to 1430
is possible before a bounce could start within 60-90 mins.
Attempt trade
for 09/26/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend: Swinging )$$
[SP/Z] Monday's
no-follow-thru already ruined the reversal up. For
the rest of the week, market is more likely to swing between
1465 and 1445. Strategy for this week will be
"scalping". For short side: stop 1467,
selling bias, target 1446.
Attempt trade
for 09/25/2000 Monday (Main
trend: swings )$
Market will try to test
1465-4 area by profit taking sell off at open. Try to take a quick
profit and buy back quickly at 1465 area with 1464-3 stop.
If 1464-3 is broken, this 1455-3 will be inevitable.
Spike to 1455 is valid.
Attempt trade
for 09/22/2000 Friday (Main
trend: Ready to reverse back up )$$$
If open at around 1444-46
area, stop 1447-8. selling bias and scalp the one hour
flushing, target 1428.50-1426.
After it hits target, try
to cover short and reverse to buy side for 30 pts bounce.
(It did not open at 1446.
We bought after it bounced to above 1444.50, with 1444.50
stop for 1470 target before end of Monday.)
Attempt trade
for 09/21/2000 Thursday (Main
trend: 1450 testing is still valid)$
[SP/Z] Since
145x testing is still valid (likely on Friday), be
conservative.
For buy side: Stop 1465,
buying bias, target 1482-3 testing. (Globex high 1475 and
market opened below 1465)
If sp get stalled at
opening at 1475, selling bias, target 1465, and 1450 testing
is still valid.
Attempt trade
for 09/20/2000 Wednesday (Main
trend: mixed )
[sp/z] If this 1472 can not
be violated, bottom is not confirmed.
Attempt trade
for 09/19/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend: )$$
[sp/z] One day bounce like
last Wednesday is likely. Stop 1455, buying bias, target
1480-82 testing.
Attempt trade
for 09/18/2000 Monday (Main
trend: Reversal
back down again)$$$
[SP/Z] Stop 1492, selling bias,
next
target range 1470-65 unchanged.
If SP/Z opens gap down at
1475 area, then better not sell within 60 minutes. Try to
scalp buy side for 15 pts bounce and reverse to down side
again.
If it opens gap up, stop
1492, risk 1 point, selling bias for 1474-3 target.
A lot of stocks are bearish... try to short.
Attempt trade
for 09/15/2000 Friday (Main
trend: Reversal
back down again)$$$
Watch out !
SP is lagging behind, something wrong ! Especially the Dow
Jones... looks like it just started the plunging.
Market
will try to test 1510-1512 one more time with good CPI
report. If it get stalled. We will consider to change bias
to selling for 1475-1465 SP/U target and 3600-3580 NQ/Z
target before October FOMC meeting (10/02)
Attempt trade
for 09/14/2000 Thursday (Main
trend: Short
term reversal)$$$
"Market should bounce 2 days
in a row ! Buying bias, target 1526-1530." is still
valid; BUT Wednesday's reversal was not so strong as we
had expected. It is behind schedule a little bit, so... be
careful and conservative.
SP major support 1498, stop
for scalping is 1503, still buying bias, target 1518.
Attempt trade
for 09/13/2000 Wednesday (Main
trend: Short
term reversal)$$$
[SP/Z]
Reversal day. Buying bias. At Globex sp hit 1499.20 and
reversed. If market does not plunge to 1495 area in first 60
minutes, this 1499.20 should be the bottom; because Nasdaq
has plunged 500 points already. Buy buy buy.
Market should bounce 2 days
in a row ! Buying bias.target 1526-1530. Keep in mind the
bounce could be a fast one for 20-30 pts from Globex low. If this
2-day bounce fails, watch out, market could be down for 1-2
more weeks for 1487-5 and 1465 before reversal for year end rally.
Attempt trade
for 09/12/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend: Dow
triple topping and NQ/U will be bottoming soon.)$$$
[SP/Z] Market could open gap up 4-5 pts, but it is still selling
bias.
Including Globex, Stop
1520.40, selling bias, target 1502-00 before noon and 1495-2
afternoon.
Ready for reversal, BUT, low is not in YET! Should be
Tuesday afternoon or Wednesday open. Our map says Wednesday
open 1495~93 and reversal up.
Attempt trade
for 09/11/2000 Monday (Main
trend: Dow
triple topping and NQ/U will be bottoming soon.)$$$
[SP/Z] Including
globex, Stop 1521, selling bias, target 1507.80. If market
opens gap down 10 pts (very likely), we would miss this
short scalping.
If this 1521 is broken
within 30 mins after the opening, we would be side line and
re-evaluate the feasibility of either short or long
scalping; because 1523.50 is also a stop for short side.
07:40
Update in WarRoom - Anyone who bought earlier, better take
profit at 1527-1530. This spike won't last for long !! Stop
1531, selling bias, target 1507.
Attempt trade
for 09/08/2000 Friday (Main
trend: Dow
triple topping and NQ/U reversing)$$$
If it opens gap down, Friday's market should
wipe out Thursday's gain. We are NOT going to chase buy side!
We are favoring side line or short side and selling bias. We
short stocks from Thursday close.
Attempt trade
for 09/07/2000 Thursday (Main
trend: Dow
triple topping and NQ/U reversing)$$
If this 1488-1490 support
holds within first hour, sp/u would bounce to 1504 before
9:00. Try to scalp buy side.
If sp/u holds above 1496.50
for more than 2 hours, there is a chance it would get to
1511-12 before close.
Summary:
With stop 1490.50, try to buy bounce (for scalping), target
1504 and 1510.
Attempt trade
for 09/06/2000 Wednesday (Main
trend: Dow
triple topping and NQ/U reversing)$$$
[SP/U]
Market is most likely to open gap down @1507.50 followed by
a quick plunge to 1500 testing before reversing back up to
1521~23.
At Globex, before the
opening, try to short. Stop 1517.60, selling bias 1515-1517,
first target 1507.50 and then 1501.70-1499.50. Thursday should plunge
again if Wednesday market closes at bounce high. (Modified
in WarRoom)
Attempt trade
for 09/05/2000 Tuesday (Main
trend: Dow
triple topping and NQ/U 4305-75 topping)$$$
<09/04 Mon> In
this coming week, better scalp only; because Dow/SP and
a lot of new-high (or near-high) stocks have a cycle for a
short term topping again--Tuesday/Wednesday. Next re-entry of
long position will be next week.
[SP/U]
1524.50 is the major pivot. If market stays below this pivot
for more than 1.0-1.5 hours in a row, market would try to
fill last Thursday's 150x gap. For
bearish scenario: Use Globex high as stop for selling bias
for 150x target and this 1520 must be violated to be
safe.
Attempt trade
for 09/01/2000 Friday (Main
trend: Dow
triple topping)$$
After job report, sp spike
up 1540, we took our profit at 1537 and side line on SP.
If you bought at
1520 with 1519 stop at Globex, take 1/2 profit at open, the
other 1/2 for target 1547 (pay attention to Dow 11375).
For aggressive buyers, stop
1528.7, keep buying, for dow target/time. (As we said Dow jones
target 11375.)
Watch out for final hour
little profit taking sell off
and Tuesday-Wednesday profit taking sell off.
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